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Michael Hoard

6 Days Ago

Barry Depression Tropical Storm Hurricane Expected To Move Inland West Of The City Of New Orleans

Greetings all members!! It appears Barry will be a minimum storm for the exception of as worded by NOAA 's president this could easily manifest into a life threatening water event. As everyone may be aware as viewed on National news this morning New Orleans experienced an unexpected storm over the city and entire path of a storm cell which developed over the cit and all surrounding areas. This is the second rain event which caused major flooding which was on Mother's Day, regardless of an outdated city wide pumping stations.

A new never used 1 billion dollar pump one of the largest in the southern continental United States constructed which would prevent another Katrina disaster where storm surges entered into Lake Pontchartrain to the north and water rushed up the various open canals and caused the devastating breeches in St. Bernard and in New Orleans in Lake View were the walls for the canal gave way, and that event etched in everyone's mind around the world consumed the city.

Since Hurricane Katrina, the city over the years has heighten levee tops to 25 ft in some areas and other locations cement walls which are 20 ft. and iron gates on track at intersections. The storm brought a total of nearly 8 inches in close to 3 hours no pumps could have moved so much water out of the city to relieve widespread flooding. Yesterday's storm was a precursor of what was yet to come with tropical storm Barry lingering in the Gulf of Mexico. All related forecast were given to everyone of potential flash flooding the city came to a grid lock no one was expecting the magnitude of the storm. Water spouts formed over Lake Pontchartrain and moved inland violent winds tornado alerts sheets of white water brief hail and a house along Bayou St. John by City Park it imploded just the one house all others as if nothing occurred, there were no inquires reported.

With the depression, tropical storm predicted to become Hurricane Barry a minimal storm sometime tomorrow evening into Saturday morning. There is a looming potential disaster New Orleans has been dealing with the unprecedented height of the Mississippi River an ongoing fight for over 258 days of nearing flood stage which is 17 ft. the wall barriers are built at a height of 20 feet with other earthen levees close to 25 ft in some areas. West of New Orleans is the Bonnie Carrie Spillway a dam with wooden needles or ties like used on railroads which when built are opened to lower the river level in New Orleans and relieve the pressure on the earthen levees surrounding New Orleans. New Orleans is below sea level as most are aware.

Yesterday TV meteorologist had project 19 ft. crest then changed to 20 ft. now back to 19ft. the storm surge upriver of water moving upstream projected 3 to 5 ft. Core of engineers had projected some lapping of the cresting water and storm surge predicted by Barry over the levee tops the swift moving river which passes through New Orleans has now been announced 19 ft. That is still concerning to us all considering the forecast rain event from the storm could total over and in some isolated areas totaling 20+ inches of rain. There has been no official mandatory evacuation of the City as of yet but lower parishes south of New Orleans those residents have made their move inland. At present engineers are confident the levee will not be topped or compromised. Today dry air will deter any major rapid development of Barry. For the next couple of days New Orleans may feel the effect of 35 to 74 mph winds and local heavy rains The entire corridor of flood gates along the river in front of Jackson Square to Crescent Park and all along the river front to uptown have been closed or in the process of closing.....

The photo taken from Crescent Park downriver of New Orleans at the crescent or bend of the Mighty Mississippi River....

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Michael Hoard

6 Days Ago

I would like to thank recent members who have contacted me and prayerful thoughts of concern the city will be spared any major devastating blow and I remain safe. I live in a city block 4 story apartment complex, during Isaac the complex had electricity but most of the city did not. I watched as transformers blew and watch all the neighborhoods I could see turn black, some were without electricity for a week or two... I moved from the 4th floor 1 1/2 year ago to the first floor, in the event something disastrous would occur I can move higher up, I am a swimmer but do have a life jacket when I was a chef offshore I feel confident I will have no use for it.....

For those members who may not have had the opportunity at some point of there lives, the entire French Market all along that corridor business owners are boarding up to be safe than sorry. The French Quarter when settlers came to New Orleans selected that for the ground breaking and the city was built and designed outwards in the Crescent of the Mississippi River as it snakes its way from north winding down to the south.

Sometime tomorrow Friday evening Saturday and Sunday lingering winds in the metro New Orleans area. Never the history of the Levee system built in New Orleans had the level reach 17 ft more or less the 20 or 25 ft The Mississippi had continued to remain as high as it has been from the early spring snow melts, and the relentless rain events up north. What falls down from the sky above must flow down into the Mississippi.

This morning I woke up early to the most stunning yellow vivid pink skies. I spent all day at the neighborhood coffee shop and watched all day from the window table the ceiling of cloud layers getting lower closer and closer as if I could reach up and touch them. It brought me back to my childhood as I young boy and experiencing Hurricane Betsy, my mom sent my dad to get me in as it was getting dark I was always fascinated with the clouds. I watched as they slowly flowed across the sky up until the first major squall passed over the city.

The winds have been gusting all day reminds me of standing on the beach at grand isle as a storm forms in the Gulf and the waves roll to shore......hoping for the best Fine Art America neighbors along the Gulf Coast anytime a tropical storm or hurricane strikes west of your location its always the right side quadrant which generally have the heaviest of rains and spawned tornadoes, A recent update encouraging news Barry encountering upper atmosphere sheer aloft and dry air, two factors which do not assist storms to intensify, forecast rains and gusts......

 

MM Anderson

6 Days Ago

Take care Michael. I'll keep you and the entire area in my thoughts during the storm.

 

Elisabeth Lucas

6 Days Ago

Stay safe and let us know how you are doing, please!

Hopefully it won't be as bad as they predicted!

 

RD Erickson

6 Days Ago

Stay safe - I be still amazed that people will continue to live in the bottom of a bowl that is so prone to flood.

 

Mario Carta

6 Days Ago

Oh Boy Michael, I hope you are out of the strike zone,stay safe.I still have a tarp on part of the house from previous storms and waiting for our new roof now, any day once it stops raining every day. :-)

 

Mike Breau

6 Days Ago

Michael,

Wonder about you immediately whenever news of New Orleans come up.
Thanks for keeping us so well informed.
Stay safe and God Bess!

Elizabeth, you need to invest in a storm magnet de-magneitizer.
Check Google-Must be able to find one somewhere!
I wouldn't rely on the cheap ones though;
not on your watch!

 

Elisabeth Lucas

5 Days Ago

Lol, great idea, Mike!

 

Michael Hoard

5 Days Ago

I am at the neighborhood coffee shop at the moment getting away from making all my preparations in the event the city block 4 story complex all apartments on 1st floor have street entrance and interior doors to move with in the building halls. The recent storm there was no water directly on the street which I live but all surrounding streets were flooded water up to the top of the wheels for some...

The neighborhood which I live Lower Garden District had no water during Hurricane Katrina, from the river the land slopes downwards to the center of the city. I have already raised everything higher using my calculations of a worst scenario .. I measured the foundation slab on the street entrance with a covered porch and step up to the door. I have 13 ft. ceilings and my long long photography takes priority, during hurricane Katrina everything I owned was across the river and the tidal surge came within a couple of miles from the storage facility.

Update on situation here in New Orleans, the latest news report on TV officials updating everyone. The Governor announced of all the flood gates which protect the city will be closed. They did mention the excessive and intense storms will be during daylight hours Saturday morning everyone will have a visual of any water rising than if it would occur at night. They will also have a better visual of levees with cameras place in many locations around New Orleans.

I do recall during tropical Issac the Mississippi River was lapping over the concrete 20 ft concrete flood wall were the industrial canal meets in the Bywater neighborhood, the core of engineers have everything in place for reinforcement of some areas which are considered low spots or a potential weak area. The same blocks used to close up the breech during hurricane Katrina.

Thought it is highly concerning I feel clam, no anxiety or panic effects as with other storms of the past. Certainly, . if Barry would have developed into a more development storm a mandatory evacuation. Members along western Florida, Mobile, Mississippi, Texas will get effects as well from the outer bands from the storm hopefully your communities will not have to face the burden of aftermath. Local meteorologist had mentioned though Barry does not appear as a typical visual shaped classic storm it will intensify somewhat prior to hitting the coast west of New Orleans.

 

Michael Hoard

5 Days Ago

Hello MM, nice to see and appreciate your thoughts of concern for all in the area. As mentioned reports just a two hours ago stated 25+ potential rain. I remember so well the Houston area 50 plus inches of rain fall. A different scenario the storm remained stationary, my sister had 5 ft of water down at the bottom of her driveway, the next day it had drained away from her neighborhood......

Hello Elizabeth, I appreciate your thoughts of concern and will stay in touch up until I loose power. During the tropical storm Issac as i was looking downtown from the 4th floor apartment which I lived I watched all neighborhoods go dark. The complex which I live is on the same power grid with downtown, there are so many large live oaks and from the tropical force winds branches falling brought down power lines and struck transformers.....Sections of the city had no power for a week or more......

Hello RD, when New Orleans developed with new settlers it was the French Quarter the highest point at that time. The entire grew outwards from the French Quarter and the entire City of New Orleans was a swamp of sorts. Over the years the city has continued to sink at an advanced rate in some parts other an inch a year. You mention it amazes you why would anyone want to remain in an area which continues to flood. I am sure its an ancestry thing, generations after generations remain in the communities which they live.

Hello Mario, good seeing you and thank you for the thoughts of concern. I remember so well when you and so many other members were in the path of the devastating Hurricane Florence, you had lost power and I took a cell photo of the live radar so you could brace yourself of the storm cells getting close to your area. Like so many members we live through so many disasters rebuild or move. I am glad to hear the new roof will soon be built, it does take time recovering from the aftermath......

Thanks Mike, I appreciate your thoughts of concern and well being of the approaching storm. The officials here emphasized to everyone expect to have enough provisions for 3 days, the basic essentials... I have always maintained provisions to hold out for at least two weeks or more, disaster rations. July 4 night there was a power outage for more than 3 hours and I noticed my cell phone was out, the outage affected the cell tower which provides signal to my phone.....no electricity more than likely no communication.

 

MM Anderson

5 Days Ago

We had over 22 in. of rain from Florence last Sept. and our power was out for days. Our house didn't flood but many others did in North and South Carolina. I hope for everyone in your area's sake that it won't be as bad as I've seen it predicted to be down there. It's a good thing that it will be daylight and you are well prepared.

 

Michael Hoard

5 Days Ago

Hello MM, so many of us followed you many members surround the path of Florence it boggled our minds knowing what was to come. up until power outages, the greatest concern flooding, the pumps and the Mississippi River level. The coffee shop just made an announcement they are closing sooner than expected I am now heading home and will resume I have witnessed both day and night hurricanes and its the night time storms which are most nerving you hear the crashes from the safe area of your home.....

 

Gaby Ethington

5 Days Ago

Praying for you and all of Louisiana, stay safe!

 

Bradford Martin

5 Days Ago

Thank you for the updates and I hope this passes without much damage.

 

Susan Wiedmann

5 Days Ago

Michael, best wishes for your safety in the coming days! You are wise to have two weeks of provisions, which I think all of us should have regardless of where we live. Perhaps that should include spare phone batteries, fully charged.

For the city of New Orleans (or others) to say have provisions for "3 days" is crazy, IMO. If the roads are flooded it will take more than 3 days for trucks to be able to come in and resupply food on supermarket shelves. And drinking water will likely be contaminated if flooding is bad, so bottled water will be scarce.

Keep in touch, as best as you can.


 

RD Erickson

5 Days Ago

We had three inches of rain yesterday afternoon and two days before. Today - and it's not stopped raining yet - it appears we may get at least three if not 4 inches of rain. The radar show it about 5 miles away - good size thunderstorms. We live on the side of a "hill", well at least the land slopes down to the lake and to a creek that feeds it, and so we stay pretty high and dry. It will take a while for the lake to resume it's fullness that we had around February and March - they have dredged about 18 acres of the lake - it's a really shallow lake - hardly any of it was more than maybe 10 feet deep. Some farm in the next county down was the recipient of all the mud that's accumulated over the last hundred years or so. The dredging lowered the bottom between 3 and 5 feet.

 

Michael Hoard

5 Days Ago

Hello Susan, I have returned to the apartment and have been listening to the latest, all stations are preempting national news story's. It will move inland very slowly, a little bit more west of the city, it had bee going west, east back to west. They had mentioned catastrophic rains will be more than like between New Orleans and Baton Rouge the rains associate with the central rotation. The are stressing its not were the actual eye passes but the right quadrant of banding rains and training over the same area..Tonight New Orleans in general tropical storm wind gust of 60 mph which will produced power outages because of the tree branches falling on electrical lines. Then areas east of New Orleans neighbors on the Gulf Coast they are acceptable as we are with flooding from bands of heavy rains.....

A practiced I use is cook off the frozen foods first which were frozen items not knowing if power is lost or not I eat the lefts overs, keep the freezer closed and then cook something for 2nd day barbecue then the provisions of can foods which will last for up to three weeks. I have back up power packs, batteries, water the basics, including some Sterno burners.... During Isaac I came home and it was mandatory but then Isaac was only a minimum tropical storm and I thought I was going to leave as well. The management office of the complex wanted everyone to remove all frozen food and dispose, and though the complex did not loose power. People returned back to New Orleans in about 3 days or a week later knowing everything was ok to return.... Tonight I am having a Cajun pork roast dinner

Some of the bands are not too far away from passing over New Orleans, reported just this moment, if this was a normal organized storm New Orleans would have a flooding situation right at this moment, but the storms on the sound of the storm will wrap around the right quadrant, the weatherman mention how the top have never had the opportunity to produce the banding rains its all at the bottom and its that intense rains which as the storms move north will create havoc.... the river crest was now projected to 18 ft. instead of the 19 ft. and informed residents the river will not have splash over the levees....great news to hear!!!

Hello Gabby, thank you for the thoughts and prayers for the entire area. and everyone remain safe.

Hello Bradford, thank you for the thoughts the storm and its rains will not be destructive.....

 

Drew

5 Days Ago

Thanks for keeping us informed Michael. I think of you everytime a storm is in the gulf. I had a family member in Metairie for many years. An uncle who was more like a brother than an uncle.

 

Michael Hoard

4 Days Ago

Hello Drew, this has been one of the most unusual storm meteorologist have seen no top half yet a bottom half. They are now saying its trying to reorganize before it hit the shoreline. The also say it will barely moving just about stationary inland just about 12 from the shore to another location, News broke in to announce the core informed everyone the threat of the the extreme river crest of 19ft and 20 ft. It will now stay steady at just above 17 ft. they will not report on the tidal surge any further. The just informed the worst weather we would get in the New Orleans area would occur near 7 am what occurs remains uncertain. This sure is a relief off every one's mind whew..... once the center moves over land the bottom half will move north. When the storm reaches Missouri sometime by Monday, it will still be pulling moisture from the Gulf, safe and sound at 10:25 Friday night.

Sunday night concert at the Super Dome was moved to Monday The Rolling Stones Concert, I had seen their concert which broke all time indoor record concert in the United States, that was 1981 38 years ago, it was wild. Mick Jagger tweeted riding into New Orleans with the Super Dome in the background, Barry get out of the way I am here...

 

Michael Hoard

4 Days Ago

Live update, I am sitting outside on the porch of the apartment complex and the streets of New Orleans remain high and dry. Overnight bands of rain, squall gust of winds, nothing which would make you think a Tropical Storm, Hurricane is over the city until right this moment.....earlier our local official report New Orleans is not out of the clear quite yet, though its as gloomy as gloomy can get more like a winter sky powerful winds no rain at the moment. They are now expecting rains later tonight and extended into all day tomorrow which would be scattered storms....pretty much ever since the storm reached the Gulf of Mexico its movement had been slow.....what appears as micro burst of intense winds come to screeching halt, the force of wind I am experiencing at the moment is the most intense blasts of wind... I switched over to another tab to view local radar and the storm for the first time now has a characteristic of a classic storm, hurricane....were the banding of storms, squalls wrap around the board area of circulation......at moments the wind is consistently getting stronger gusts no rain for quite sometime now perhaps a couple of hours.....I did take note on radar all the way over to Pensacola and earlier on TV the entire storm itself the white cloud shelf fills the entire Gulf of Mexico.....all three TV networks exempted with live local broadcast and their reporters covering the news.

 

Mary Bedy

4 Days Ago

Fingers crossed that there are no nasty surprises left, Michael!

 

Michael Hoard

4 Days Ago

Hello Mary it appears Barry has encountered dry air entering from the north of the system. Neighbors along the Gulf Coast conditions improving, as well as in New Orleans. officials did mention as the storm is heading north it is still siphoning moisture from the Gulf and later tonight banding passing over the city could produce undesirable conditions since the ground is already saturated Core of engineers have announced sometime tonight they will start the procedure of opening the gates which protect the city from any type of water surges.......what a relief, what a relief. New Orleans it seems has dogged a catastrophic event, hopefully other communities, less fortunate can recover quickly..... the city and surrounding areas, no warning issued for Sunday be on alert for tornado activity expected with tropical systems when they move inland....

 

Drew

4 Days Ago

Michael, so happy to hear you are doing well. WOW! how it shifted from tropical storm to hurricane over land was different then what we are use to seeing. the best to all the members effected by Barry.

 

Michael Hoard

2 Days Ago

Hello Drew, Barry is now on a journey north to Missouri, I am at the neighborhood coffee shop at the moment, for sure this storm was like non other, the very fact it was only a broad area of low pressure moving from west to east mid section of the country. I would have to think the reason its direction once over Tennessee to take a right hand turn down to the Gulf had the association of upper winds and the high pressure east preventing the broad low to move east. Meteorologist did mention it has occurred before but non uncommon, to imagine a Hurricane from from a broad level low instead of coming off Africa and travel across the ocean and into the Caribbean.

.Barry pretty much seems to be doing a 360 degree heading north again dumping rains over the mid section of the United States in the area it had initially was moving from west to east. I am suspecting the core of engineers which was planing to close the Bonnie Carrie spillway may have cause to open more of it pins to let more water to travel into Lake Pontchartrain north of New Orleans which travels into the Gulf of Mexico. Eventually further north all rivers will crest below at normal flood stages,

All the rains now will flow south creating swollen rivers cresting at normal levels north of Lake Pontchartrain and surrounding levels, everyone remembers Harvey it had no steering currents and just sat over Texas and produced 50 + inches of rains, somewhat insane as well as Florence and just last year Hurricane Michael. As everyone is aware south of the city east to west a 25 ft wall constructed along with the world's largest pumping system to help assist with those monster tidal surges which move inland ahead of super hurricanes. I have yet to visit the after its construction it was open to the public to tour but was unable to travel to its location.

I remember so clearly a hurricane moved inland over New Orleans and parked itself over Lake Pontchartrain and was getting energy to help fuel the storm.....I had since a young boy fascinated with cloud formations. Days leading up to Barry I took some images of clouds events which seemed very odd. New Orleans had been having excessive higher than normal heat temperatures, Our weather personnel did mention the storm would stir up things in the Gulf to disperse the huge toxic algae bloom all across the Gulf of Mexico to Lake Pontchartrain. Mainly caused by the diversion of fresh water from the Mississippi River entering Lake Pontchartrain then exiting in the east of New Orleans to the Gulf of Mexico....Caused when fresh water introduced to salt water and brackish body's of water....it appears sometime later tonight the rains will cease eventually yet Barry continues to siphon moisture from the Gulf of Mexico as it continues to move north Monday flood warning continued for all surrounding areas....

It appears after Hurricane all communities have rebuilt there levee systems and yes some low lying areas did flood this was due to the constant easterly winds causing tidal surges flowing water into bayous canal in the lower parishes on the opposite side of the levee protection system.. I also noticed all the extreme rough weather our Fine Art America and Pixels member well north up in Canada they are having extreme weather issues and warnings issued across the entire country... I looked at one point on radar and it appeared all across Canada, it appears a weather front crossing over the country, hopefully they will not sustain severe damages.....

Here is the list of Hurricane names for 2019

Andrea
Barry
Chantal
Dorian
Erin
Fernand
Gabrielle
Humberto
Imelda
Jerry
Karen
Lorenzo
Melissa
Nestor
Olga
Pablo
Rebekah
Sebastien
Tanya
Van
Wendy

Also, I have viewed daily since that 1st major quake in California it appears continuous aftershocks 1.0 average and some maxing out 3.0 to 4.0 the best to all members living in the earthquake zone, not know when a large quake may occur, it must be nerving. it is mind boggling when you view the amount of after shocks spreading outwards pretty much now in all directions, 1.0 daily with regular quakes from 3.0 to 4.0.....The Geo Seismic Director, did confirm Southern California is on heightened alert of continued after shocks since that major quake a few weeks ago.

When I had visited I experienced a 3.0 about 3 miles from my sister's home and they are so use to them they do not feel them, I was on the second floor of their 5 bedroom home on the side of a mountain in San Bernardino and I first heard the cracking of wood, then the tremor occurred, They were downstairs and I yelled earthquake, they check and sure enough I did experience my first earthquake.... This last quake was powerful enough my sister did react they live 125 miles from the epicenter. .

 

MM Anderson

2 Days Ago

Glad you weathered the storm OK Michael. Lets hope we don't have too many more natural disasters, including earth quakes, this year.

 

Drew

2 Days Ago

Michael,
1981 Rolling Stones tour......LOL! They hit altamonte springs florida that summer. Quite a few of my friends made the 2 hour drive but I elected to go see the Grand Canyon with my folks!

I too hope not to see anymore disasters but I do have my generator primed and ready.

 

Michael Hoard

2 Days Ago

Hello MM it seems nothing in the near future there is a large Saharan dust storm coming off Africa and tropical formations generally do not favor those conditions.....yet Florence at one point encountered the Saharan dust was in fact wrapping in it circulation as it was crossing the Atlantic.

Drew, I still have two of that years Rolling Stones Tour t-shirts....I am at the coffee shop right now and the barista informs me last night Mick Jagger and Keith Richards driving around New Orleans in a convertible was right down the street at one of the neighborhood pubs from the coffee shop I visit. She said they were just hanging out with the neighborhood locals they took selfies and signed autographs that would have been cool to run into them.... Also in town is Keanu Reeves from the Matrix he is filming in town, he has been going to another coffee house right up the street. My camera travels with me every day, I might get lucky and get a shot of a celebrity.....

 

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